Greece crisis: Angela Merkel’s heaviest week
The Chancellor has largely prevailed in the dispute with Greece, but that it really begins for Angela Merkel: It must to the voices of their own faction in the Bundestag fight – and appease the coalition partner SPD.
After umpteen hours if it is late in the crucial meetings and negotiations, Angela Merkel runs on top form. The Chancellor will come through a lot.
But on the substance likely the 17 – hour Greece talks have gone well with Merkel. The real work begins now for the Chancellor only really: Towards the end of the week, probably on Friday, a special session is to the Bundestag, in the decision on inclusion of the actual negotiations on a new aid package for Greece. Since Merkel needs a majority.
It’s about whether Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble is allowed to negotiate on billions in aid from the permanent rescue fund ESM. The CDU leader is also dependent on the votes of coalition partner – but the SPD is not so good to talk to Merkel and her party colleague Schauble after the weekend.
This time it can not send out their finance ministers, as recently in the Union Group on Greece. If the parliamentary groups meet on Thursday to its special sessions to prepare the vote in plenary on the following day, it all depends on Merkel: you must convince them to vote in the Bundestag with Yes the deputies of the CDU and CSU.
persuasion is needed
The Chancellor should quickly begin to persuasion. Seldom has the desire in the Union was probably as big, not to follow the Chancellor. Already in late February, was a vote on the extension of the second package, gave 118 parliamentarians of CDU and CSU from personal statements in which she spoke out against new loans. After back and forth in recent weeks, this group will have been even greater – especially the mood is correspondingly also in the population.
MEPs now that Merkel confidant as Bundestag Vice Peter Hintze must listen, they would end up’ to follow in any case, and vote by a large majority in the Bundestag for its proposal’ the Chancellor, may prove to be counterproductive prove: In fact, the Union faction is not traditionally rebellious disposition – unlike the SPD colleagues – but who never rebelled themselves would not even have to hold.
One as Wolfgang Bosbach has long since established: The CDU deputy as last vote’no’, the high risk of liability of German taxpayers, he no longer wants to endorse long. At least one should be honest and do not speak of loans that will pay back sometime Athens, finds Bosbach: ” The money is lost, and we should not talk around it.’
The chairman of the SME association in the Union, Carsten Linnemann, is skeptical:’ The euro zone has reached a point where they must make honest. Greece is also the new requirements can not meet, “said the CDU deputy. Assistance from the ESM would be nothing more than another rule breaking, he believes.
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AFP Also CSU is struggling
In the CSU to do also many difficulties with another Yes – even though party leader Horst Seehofer, the Chancellor expressly praised on Monday. He was’ very satisfied with what is on the table’, says Seehofer. How many MPs from the regional committee will vote at the end of the negative, is difficult to predict.
And the coalition partners? State of the Chancellor comes to Greece with very few exceptions, have always loyally – but now Merkel has only once run a little reparation from the Social Democrats: That their finance ministers in Brussels presented a plan to exclude Greece for five years out of the euro, without this to have agreed with the tips of the SPD, ensures some annoyance. What SPD leader Sigmar Gabriel dismisses as’ errors and unintentional fouls’, keep other comrades for a serious breach of trust in the coalition.
In any case, they have Schauble suspected to have operated in the past few weeks a Greece game on their own account, with ever tougher demands and rhetorical broadsides against Athens. Merkel said the accusation was, let it go too much to him.
A majority in parliament is expected the Chancellor at the end in the face of superior force of Union and SPD nevertheless be assured, particularly in the Green Group will most probably vote yes, unlike in his left hand.
Aufatmen may Merkel then but not yet: If negotiations are successful, the result has to be submitted to the Bundestag again.